It’s not your imagination.

Manteca is building a lot of homes.

In the fiscal year ending June 30, the City of Manteca issued building permits for 978 single family homes.

That is the second highest 12-month period for Manteca issuing permits for new homes.

The record was set in 2000 when 1,075 new homes were built.

Based on Manteca’s average yield rate of 3.2 people per home, the 978 houses being built will likely add 3,129 people.

That means Manteca will be pushing 94,000 residents by mid-2025.

There were no multiple-family unit projects that started in the last fiscal year.

Manteca had 875 single family home starts in 2022 and 677 new home starts in 2021.

Manteca during 2023 added more residents — 2,365 — than any other city in the three counties of the Northern San Joaquin Valley.

The 2.7 percent growth rate, half of that of region leader Lathrop at 5.4 percent, gave Manteca 90,917 residents as of Jan. 1.

In the past five years, Manteca has built 3,662 homes or an average of 734 homes a year,

That also reflects the second highest five year average of homes built.

The top five-year period was from 2000 to 2004 when 3,887 new homes were built including 2000 when a record 1,075 new homes were built. The annual average for the five years was 777 homes a year.

All except about a hundred of the homes built last fiscal year were south of the 120 Bypass with the bulk being in the southwestern part of the city.

In March, the city was tracking just over 12,000 housing units in the pipeline.

That includes single family homes and multiple family units that at the time were still in the process of being built, had secured full entitlements needed to break ground or had maps in various stages of review.

The number has clearly been whittled down since then.

But even so, there have been more subdivisions proposed since March including 310 homes on Sedan Avenue in southeast Manteca on land that will need to be annexed to the city.

It is likely that Manteca still has between 11,000 and 12,000 homes in the development pipeline.

If current growth rates do not change in Manteca and Tracy, Manteca— will catch up and surpass Tracy sometime in 2030 as San Joaquin County’s second largest city.

Tracy grew by 1,268 people last year for a 1.3 percent growth rate that is almost half of Manteca’s.

Tracy is currently closing in on 98,000 residents

Manteca, prior to the 1970s, was the third largest city in San Joaquin County before being surpassed by Tracy.

To contact Dennis Wyatt, email dwyatt@mantecabuleltin.com

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